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Southwest Airlines- Jet Fuel Hedging Strategy: A Case Study in Risk Management

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Turning Volatility into an Advantage

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Southwest’s Fuel Hedging Program

Southwest Airlines initiated its fuel hedging program in the early 1990s, evolving from a short term cost protection measure into a sophisticated long term strategy. The airline primarily relies on crude oil derivatives as a proxy for jet fuel, leveraging the high correlation between the two commodities and the greater liquidity in the crude oil market.

Key things to note from the Hedging Strategy:
  • Hedging at least 50% of annual fuel costs, sometimes extending several years into the future.
  • Utilizing a mix of financial instruments, including:
    • Call options
    • Collar structures
    • Fixed price swap agreements
  • Dynamic adjustments based on market conditions and company needs.
  • Focus on net volume of fuel derivative contracts, irrespective of hedge accounting qualifications.

This strategy saved Southwest an estimated $3.5 billion between 1998 and 2008, accounting for 83% of the company’s profits during that period.

At the helm of Southwest’s successful fuel hedging program is Chris Monroe, the company’s Treasurer, leading a highly skilled team of just four fuel traders. This small but powerful team collaborates with major Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, to implement sophisticated hedging strategies.

Chris Monroe, who joined Southwest in 1986, has been instrumental in shaping the airline’s fuel hedging program. His expertise has made Southwest’s approach so renowned that he once stated:

Chris Monroe

“Send me your most arrogant person on the Street and have them come work for us in the fuel hedge, and we will humble them in about 10 minutes.”

Chris Monroe, the treasurer of Southwest Airlines

Image Source: Abilene Christian University

Derivatives in Use

The hedging strategy is built on a variety of derivatives, ensuring cost protection and risk mitigation. These instruments include:

  • Call options and collar structures
  • Call spreads and put spreads
  • Fixed price swap agreements

These tools enabled Southwest to take advantage of the higher liquidity in the crude oil market while still effectively managing jet fuel price fluctuations.

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Source: EIA

This approach proved successful even in 2022, when jet fuel prices spiked over 75% year-on-year yet Southwest’s hedges provided substantial protection. The company’s strategic hedging reduced fuel costs by approximately 70 cents per gallon, translating into $1.2 billion in savings.

Southwest’s Hedging Success

Southwest Airlines’ fuel hedging program provides valuable lessons in corporate finance and risk management:

  • Consistently implementing a hedging strategy over decades yields better results than reacting to short term price fluctuations.
  • Instead of outsourcing risk management, Southwest developed a dedicated internal team, making fuel hedging a core competency.
  • Adjusting strategies based on market conditions is crucial in managing volatility effectively.
  • By hedging around 50% of fuel costs, Southwest ensured protection against price increases while maintaining some exposure to potential price decreases.
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Inspiration: FT

Southwest Airlines fuel hedging strategy is a perfect example of financial risk management. Their ability to play with fuel price volatility with precision and expertise has given them a significant competitive edge over other airlines. Derivatives continue to play a crucial role in risk management, Southwest’s approach serves as a benchmark for companies looking to turn uncertainty into opportunity.


(Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.)

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Aurokrishnaa
Aurokrishnaa

Quantitative Mathematics | MS in Finance | MBA in Finance | Quantitative Analyst | Investments, Risk Management & Data-Driven Decision Making

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